How did we go from 3 inches to a blizzard warning in a day? We explain
Feb 21, 2026
What to KnowA blizzard warning has been issued for all five boroughs of New York City, Long Island and much of NJ; as a classic nor’easter threatens to dump heavy snow and strong winds on our area.A blizzard warning is issued when snow accumulations are expected between 13 and 18 inches and winds
are expected to gust as high as 55 mph. Whiteout conditions are expected.We were looking at just 3 inches yesterday morning. Models shifted overnight.
We were still looking at about 3 inches for the New York City area this time yesterday. Now we’ve got a blizzard warning — a severe weather alert the city hasn’t seen in almost nine years.
A blizzard warning is issued when snow accumulations are expected between 13 and 18 inches and winds are expected to gust as high as 55 mph. This drops visibility below 1/4 mile due to blowing snow, and whiteout conditions are expected. Travel may be life-threatening. So, what changed since Friday morning?
Models that previously showed the system farther offshore (like the European model) moved, showing it hugging the coastline more. That is closer to the forecast predicted by the American model, which had been very aggressive on snow for a few days.
What the models looked like on Thursday
More coverage
nyc weather
3 hours ago
Blizzard warning hits NYC area as projected snow totals rise; LI may see worse
nyc weather
4 hours ago
When will the snow hit? See hourly radar for the weekend storm
The storm comes as a result of an area of low pressure currently over California that will traverse the country and move off the North Carolina coast Sunday. As it moves into the Atlantic, the low will strengthen, and the tri-state area will pick up light to moderate snow and gusty northeast winds beginning Sunday afternoon.
Accumulations through Sunday afternoon will be relatively small. The heaviest snow happens after sunset Sunday and continues into early Monday before it begins to taper off.
Snow way. How’d we go from 3 inches to a blizzard warning overnight? We explain
More stories
2026 Milan Cortina Olympics
Feb 16
SEE IT: Top drone shots, POV views, and cinematic scenes from the Winter Olympics
2026 Milan Cortina Olympics
Feb 16
NASCAR on snow? This might be the coolest event of the Winter Olympics
2026 Milan Cortina Olympics
Feb 19
No event is safe. Even indoor curling has been delayed by bad weather in Italy
...read more
read less