Kentucky Ranks No. 1 Nationwide For Porch Pirate Risk In New 2025 Index
Dec 22, 2025
A 2025 analysis from The Action Network ranks Kentucky as the worst state in the country for package-theft risk, placing it ahead of far larger states with significantly higher raw crime totals.
Kentucky ranks No. 1 nationwide, with an implied theft probability of 29.8% — meaning nearly one i
n three deliveries is considered at risk based on recent reporting trends. That figure is the highest in the country.
Holiday shoppers may need to stay aware of the days and times of their deliveries as a good number of Kentuckians surveyed said they had a package stolen within the last year. According to the study, 12% of Kentucky residents say they had a package stolen in the past three months, the highest share of any state.
Kentucky had just under 2,000 home thefts during the time period studied, but the index shows that prevalence, not population size, is what makes the state number one.
“High reporting rates tell a different story than raw incident totals,” a spokesperson for The Action Network said. “When a large percentage of residents experience package theft in a short time frame, it signals a higher everyday risk rather than isolated events.”
Why Kentucky Tops the List
The 2025 Porch Pirate Index evaluates states using three indicators:• The share of residents reporting a stolen package in the last three months• Google search activity related to package theft• Residential larceny-theft incidents recorded in 2023–24
Those metrics are combined into a single “implied probability score,” weighted most heavily toward resident reports. Kentucky’s unusually high victim rate outweighed states with far more total thefts, including California and Texas.
California came in second in the national rankings because there were more than 15,000 home thefts, and Alaska came in third because there were a lot of reports even though the population is small. North Dakota and Texas rounded out the top five.
What the Data Suggests
According to the data, Kentucky does not have the highest number of package thefts. Rather, it makes the case that locals are more likely to personally experience theft, which alters how risk is viewed.
The study also notes that online search behavior often spikes before official crime data catches up, suggesting that consumer anxiety and lived experience may be early indicators of emerging trends.
While the report focuses on risk measurement rather than solutions, consumer-safety experts recommend practical steps to reduce exposure, especially in high-risk states like Kentucky:
Use delivery lockers or in-store pickup options when available
Request that packages be placed out of sight
Install visible doorbell or security cameras
Track deliveries closely and retrieve packages quickly
Coordinate with neighbors when traveling
The post Kentucky Ranks No. 1 Nationwide For Porch Pirate Risk In New 2025 Index appeared first on LEO Weekly | Louisville Eccentric Observer.
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